It's always easier to start with 2 dimensions than 6, right?īut the model turned out to be so good at smoothingĪnd predicting popularity data that we thought it'd be a shame not to share it. This was supposed to be a trial run before working on an electoral modelįor the coming regional elections in France. Given that we only observe through the noisy data that are polls? To estimate the same process - what is the true latent popularity, To estimate the popularity of French presidents across time.Īnd helped me get familiar with the beauty of GPs.
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